News
Speculators playing major role in upheaval in Chinese steel market - 30 Jul, 2010
In the recent week, the rebound of Chinese steel market was so dramatic that the pushing forces behind the rebound are more or less neglected by people. However, lots of analysts have perceived speculations in the rebound.

As of July 28, statistics of major steel advisory agencies all suggest that the rally has covered all steel species, especially rebar and high wire rod. If the trend continues, the steel price increase is expected to go beyond the past record high of 8%.

Anyhow, there is no sales surge following the price rally, not even in major steel markets like Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou.

Speculation factor emerges

As disclosed by a Beijing trade, Beijing market is now hoarding goods on a large scale. In June, steel foreign trade was gradually recovering, and then some traders began storing up small quantity of goods, waiting for export of domestic sales. That is the real reason behind the price rally in Beijing market in recent days.

While in Shangdong market, the speculation on iron ore, and the provincial government control on backward production capacity directly push up the steel price.

In the coming end of July, iron ore price negotiation is about to start. As the three iron ore giants are advocating for quarterly-pricing and index-linked pricing, the price rise of steel will surely increase the bargaining chips of the them, so the three giants also have motive to push up steel price in the recent period.

It is also noticeable that in Guangdong steel market, the price of construction steel is experiencing the fastest rising. Except for the good news brought about by the constructing needed for the Asian Games, the betting on the change of the real estate control policy is also playing an important role in the rally.

In a word, speculations are an invisible hand behind the recent rebound of Chinese steel price.

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